Win the War Between Ukraine and Russia
Ukraine and Russia are in a state of open war. The two sides are fighting each other for their lives, and they are battling to preserve their territory.
Western governments have provided aid to Ukraine that has largely prevented Russian advances. It is important for the West to continue this support.
Ukraine will win
The Ukrainians will win the war between ukraine and russia if the West stays committed to providing the country with the weapons it needs. Those include Stinger and IRIS-T low-altitude anti-air missiles, HIMARS rocket artillery, Patriot high-altitude air defenses, and infantry fighting vehicles such as American M1A2 Abrams tanks, French Leclercs, and German Leopard 2 tanks.
In the meantime, Ukraine’s military has made a valiant effort to resist Russian incursions into its territory in the past year. It has repelled early Russian lunges to seize Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odessa, and pushed back the only major Russian advance since the start of the conflict in February, which involved capturing the regional capital of Kherson.
At present, Russia’s army is overstretched and exhausted. Its troops train at dilapidated bases, fight with obsolete equipment, and suffer shortages of supplies such as medical aid. This is a long-term challenge to its military that could eventually degrade its capacity for sustained combat.
Russia will win
Russia has suffered mind-boggling losses in this war so far. But the country's leadership is betting that time will allow it to grind Ukraine into dust.
The West has yet to fully support Ukraine, and many worry that this will only add to Russia's fears of escalation. It's also feared that the Ukrainians could eventually capitulate and end the war.
But military analysts disagree on who will win. They think that if outside support is robust, the Ukrainians retain their ability to adapt, and Moscow sees its fighting force collapse, then Ukraine will be on the winning side.
But even if this war ends, it may not be without nuclear escalation. Jensen says that both sides may act boldly if they wind up on the ropes.
Ukraine will lose
Russia's war against Ukraine is an extraordinary clash between two mega forces in the world order. One is the United States's longstanding claim of 'primacy' or 'hegemony' over all others, and the other is Russia's determination to erase a Western-leaning state that has galvanized global public support for EU and NATO integration.
The Ukraine crisis has triggered an important test of whether the West can reinvigorate international rule of law. It has shown how a unified and effective state can fight against an aggressive, oligarchic neighbor without appeasing that enemy.
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While many Ukrainians want to remain members of the European Union and NATO, they are also acutely concerned about the risk of further Russian aggression in their homeland. This makes them even more determined to defend their country from Moscow's incursion.
That's why Kyiv has pleaded to its Western allies for 300 so-called third generation main battle tanks designed to fight in the digital-age battlefield. These weapons would give Ukraine's forces the armored punch it needs to withstand an escalating Russian offensive.
Russia will lose
Ukraine's armed forces have taken a large swath of territory in the east of their country. But the war still hasn't been won, and it could still last a long time.
Many experts expect the war to continue until one side wins a decisive victory or until Russia reaches its knees and agrees to negotiate a settlement. But there are a few possibilities that could end it earlier, including a regime change in the Kremlin or a Russian army collapse.
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The Ukrainian government, which has a strong public support, has made it clear that it won't give in to Russia's demands. The discovery of Russian massacres in towns like Bucha and Izyum has fueled the nation's anger and hardened its position.
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